Best Blackjack Strategy Without Counting
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Counting cards is one of the best advantages for a blackjack player. When counting is combined with basic blackjack strategy the player becomes a formidable adversary for the casino. The popularity of online blackjack has prompted a logical question: can you count cards in online blackjack. The answer to the question may surprise you.
Here are two ways to win at blackjack without counting cards: Method 1: Hole Carding. Identifying the what the dealers hole card and adjusting your strategy. Method 2: Front-Loading. Being able to identify what the next card will be and adjusting your strategy accordingly. The bonus and walk away with best blackjack strategy without counting your winnings. So let’s do the same example as above. You deposit €100 and get another €100 to play with. You now have a balance of €200 and with “Real Money First” bonuses you are able to best blackjack strategy without counting cancel.
Counting Cards Online
In general it is not beneficial to count cards when you are playing blackjack for real money at an online casino. The reason for this is very simple. Online blackjack games use a random number generator that is based on a full 52-card deck. This deck is shuffled after each hand of online blackjack. There is no way to establish and maintain a count when a shuffle is happening after every hand you play.
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This only applies to virtual online blackjack games. There are some casinos that have begin to offer live dealer online blackjack games. In these games the dealer is streamed live from a studio. You can see all of the actions made by the dealer as the game is in progress. The game is also dealt from a shoe in many cases. This is precisely the way the game is played in a live casino where blackjack card counting is a factor.
A blackjack game where card counting is not feasible for the player benefits the casino without question. If the answer to “Can you count cards in online blackjack?” is no, why would you want to play those games for real money?
Online Casinos as a Card Counting Tool
Card counting is a skill that takes practice. It is not something that you can just sit down and do. Counting Edge has found that many players are using online blackjack games to practice their card counting skills before they attempt to make a run at a live casino. It’s a smart move for several reasons.
The first reason online blackjack is good for practicing your card counting is that you can play for less money. In a live casino you will probably find that games have a $5 or $10 minimum. Online you can play blackjack for as little as $1 per hand. That’s lets you practice card counting with little risk to your bankroll.
Another reason is speed. The pace of an online blackjack game is something that you determine. You can take plenty of time to memorize the card values and maintain a running count when you play blackjack online. In a live game you may be compelled by the dealer and by other players to make quick decisions on your hand. In fact, the first time that many players attempt to count cards in an online casino after practicing at home they are overwhelmed by the speed of the game. They quickly lose the count and their effort is in vain.
If you want to count cards in online blackjack, by all means do so. Just remember that the benefit you receive is going to come later down the road when you play live. All the practice that you have done will help you become a more polished card counter.
What Strategy Works in Online Blackjack?
There is something that you can do to improve your odds in online blackjack. You can become a master of basic blackjack strategy. Instead of asking can you count cards in online blackjack, spend your time practicing basic strategy until you can make the right call on instinct. This will help to lower the house edge against you and increase your odds of winning.
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On This Page
Introduction
The Hi-Lo Count is the most widely written about, and in my judgment, the most commonly used card counting strategy. The High-Low was first introduced in 1963 by Harvey Dubner1. It has since been discussed by just about all the major blackjack writers. In my opinion, the best introductory treatment is in Professional Blackjack by Stanford Wong, and the most detailed coverage is in Blackjack Attack by Don Schlesinger.
How it Works
Following is a brief explanation of how to use the Hi-Lo.
Step 1: Assign a point value to each rank, as follows.
High-Low Point Values
Step 2: Start with a 'Running Count' of zero at the start of the deck/shoe. As cards are revealed, keep adding or subtracting from the Running Count, according to the point system in step 1. For example, if the first ten cards to come out of the shoe were 3, 5, K, 7, Q, A, 8, 5, 4, 2, then the running count would be 1 +1 -1 +0 -1 -1 +0 +1 +1 +1 = +2.
Step 3: Divide the running count by the number of decks remaining, to get what is known as the 'True Count.' This is the part that beginning counters hate. You don?t need to be exact. A rough estimate will do, in my opinion. Let's look at example. The running count is +7 and there are about 4 decks left. The true count would be 7/4 = 1.75. Round that up to 2, to keep it simple. The more you play the more you will be comfortable eyeballing this adjustment, without doing any real division in your head. Usually the right play is obvious. In borderline cases only will you need to do this True Count conversion.
Step 4: The greater the true count, the more you should bet. This is where card counting becomes more art than science. Some blackjack books give rigid rules on how this should be done. However, the casino managers have read these books too, and the patterns recommended in earlier books now set off red flags. How you do this should depend on your own style, and how much heat you are getting. It helps avoid heat to keep the ratio of maximum bet to minimum bet to a limit, known as the ?Bet Spread.? Only increasing bets after a win, only decreasing after a loss, and staying the same after a push, makes play look more natural, but at a cost to profitability.
Step 5: For some hands, you will play according to the True Count and a table of 'Index Numbers,' rather than basic strategy. The greater the count, the more inclined you will be to stand, double, split, take insurance, and surrender. For example, the Index Number for a player 15 against a dealer 10 is +4. This means the player should stand if the True Count is +4 or higher, otherwise hit.
The following tables are known as the 'Illustrious 18' and 'Fab 4' respectively.2 They appear in Blackjack Attack by Don Schlesinger, and are republished here with permission. These are the most important index numbers to remember. Knowing only these will give the counter 80% to 85% of the value of knowing every index number, based on a six-deck game. The difference is more in single and double-deck games. The lists are given in order of value. If you can?t memorize all of them, start at the top, and work your way down.
Illustrious 18
Order | Play | Index |
---|---|---|
1 | Insurance | +3 |
2 | 16 Vs. 10 | +0 |
3 | 15 Vs. 10 | +4 |
4 | 10,10 Vs. 5 | +5 |
5 | 10,10 Vs. 6 | +4 |
6 | 10 Vs. 10 | +4 |
7 | 12 Vs. 3 | +2 |
8 | 12 Vs. 2 | +3 |
9 | 11 Vs. A | +1 |
10 | 9 Vs. 2 | +1 |
11 | 10 Vs. A | +4 |
12 | 9 Vs. 7 | +3 |
13 | 16 Vs. 9 | +5 |
14 | 13 Vs. 2 | -1 |
15 | 12 Vs. 4 | 0 |
16 | 12 Vs. 5 | -2 |
17 | 12 Vs. 6 | -1 |
18 | 13 Vs. 3 | -2 |
The player should stand/double/split if the True Count equals or exceeds the Index Number, otherwise hit. The player should take insurance if the True Count is +3 or greater.
Fab 4 Surrenders
Order | Play | Index |
---|---|---|
1 | 14 Vs. 10 | +3 |
2 | 15 Vs. 10 | +0 |
3 | 15 Vs. 9 | +2 |
4 | 15 Vs. A | +1 |
The player should surrender if the True Count equals or exceeds the Index Number.
A full table of all index numbers can be found in Chapter 3, and Appendix A, of Professional Blackjack by Stanford Wong.
Blackjack Counting Software
The next table shows some statistics using the High-Low. The blackjack rules this table is based are liberal Vegas shoe, as follows:
Six decks
Dealer stands on soft 17
Surrender allowed
Double after split allowed
Player may resplit to four hands, including aces
To avoid setting off red flags, the simulation increased the bet after a win only, decreased after a loss only, and always stayed the same after a push, except resetting to a minimum bet after a shuffle. The simulation rounded the remaining decks to the nearest half deck, otherwise playing perfectly.
High-Low Statistics
Spread | Penetration | Index Numbers | Player Adv. | Std. Dev. | Avg.Bet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 to 5 | 4 | I18+F4 | 0.157% | 1.50 | 1.35 |
1 to 10 | 4 | I18+F4 | 0.368% | 2.04 | 1.57 |
1 to 15 | 4 | I18+F4 | 0.578% | 2.67 | 1.73 |
1 to 5 | 4.5 | I18+F4 | 0.300% | 1.60 | 1.41 |
1 to 10 | 4.5 | I18+F4 | 0.587% | 2.27 | 1.68 |
1 to 15 | 4.5 | I18+F4 | 0.834% | 3.06 | 1.90 |
1 to 5 | 5 | I18+F4 | 0.469% | 1.70 | 1.47 |
1 to 10 | 5 | I18+F4 | 0.837% | 2.52 | 1.80 |
1 to 15 | 5 | I18+F4 | 1.147% | 3.49 | 2.10 |
1 to 5 | 4.5 | All | 0.313% | 1.61 | 1.41 |
1 to 10 | 4.5 | All | 0.608% | 2.29 | 1.68 |
1 to 15 | 4.5 | All | 0.862% | 3.10 | 1.91 |
1 to 5 | 5 | All | 0.494% | 1.71 | 1.47 |
1 to 10 | 5 | All | 0.857% | 2.55 | 1.81 |
1 to 15 | 5 | All | 1.182% | 3.54 | 2.11 |
Explantion of columns
Spread: This is the ratio of the player?s minimum bet to maximum bet. The bigger the range, the greater the player?s advantage, and bankroll volatility. A wide bet spread also sets off a red flag. In a six-deck game, I think a 1 to 15 spread is about the most aggressive the player should get. The simulation played one betting spot only.
Penetration: How many decks played before reaching the cut card. In a six-deck shoe, 4.5 is the norm.
Index Numbers: I already explained index numbers above. Simulations were run using both the Illustrious 18 and Fab 4 (I18+F4) above, and with the full table. The difference is not much, which shows that knowing the top 22 gets you most of the benefit of knowing all of them.
Player Advantage: This is the ratio of net player win to total initial bets. For example, in the last row, the player could expect to win 1.182% of his total initial bets.
Standard Deviation: This is a term for the volatility per initial bet.
Average Bet: The average final bet per hand, compared to the lowest bet For example, in the last row, if the player?s minimum bet were $100, his average bet would be $211. This includes additional money bet due to doubles and splits.
This table was created using CVCX Blackjack Analyzer by Casino Vérité. This software produces hundreds of different statistics for just about any set of rules, betting strategies, and playing strategies. For the player who wants to run these tests, this software is the best there is, in my opinion.
Footnotes
- Professional Blackjack by Stanford Wong, page 31, 1994 ed.
- Blackjack Attack by Don Schlesinger, page 62, 2004 ed.
Acknowledgments
Don Schlesinger: For his permission to reprint the Illustrious 18 and Fab 4 tables from his book, Blackjack Attack.
Norman Wattenberger: For his complimentary use of CVCX Blackjack Analyzer by Casino Vérité.
Practice
Practice your card counting skills with our trainer.
Blackjack Counting Cards
Further Reading
Best Blackjack Strategy Chart
- Card Counting Introduction.
- Wizard Ace-Five Count: Very easy and simple card counting strategy.
- '21' Movie Review: Truth and fiction about the movie about the MIT card counting team.
- Blackjack book reviews.
- Main blackjack page.